BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ball St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 78 Overall: (26-7) Overall Strength =   44.30
Conference: Mid-American Record: (16-3) | District: 1-02 Record: (23-6)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    W   *  48.29  68  66    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St             3.52     -1.52                      
 2 11-09-2025 Away    W   *  38.67  81  72    1 251 (14-17) IUPUI                  -6.10     15.10                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    W   *  60.87  95  64    1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky             16.09     14.91                      
 4 11-15-2025 Away    W   *  56.78  83  59    1 226 (10-21) Memphis                12.01     11.99                      
 5 11-20-2025 Home    W      58.58  83  63    1 102 (11-20) Cincinnati             13.81      6.19                      
 6 11-24-2025 Home    L   *  26.80  64  66    1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago            -17.97     15.97                      
 7 11-28-2025 Neutral W      41.06  55  41    1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -3.72     17.72                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral W   *  61.14  70  38    1 236 (22-11) Alabama A&M            16.36     15.64                      
 9 12-03-2025 Home    W      44.78 119  34   ZZ 267 ( 0- 1) Oakland City           -0.00 *   85.00                      
10 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  25.48  65  87    1  76 (21-12) Davidson              -19.30     -2.70                      
11 12-10-2025 Away    L      37.86  62  93    1   8 (29- 8) Louisville             -6.91    -24.09                      
12 12-14-2025 Away    L   *  35.41  59  78    1  55 (27- 7) S Dakota St            -9.36     -9.64                      
13 12-20-2025 Home    W * *  32.89  78  74    1 193 (13-16) Eastern Michigan      -11.89     15.89                      
14 12-31-2025 Away    W * *  54.47 102  73    1 301 ( 7-24) Akron                   9.70     19.30                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    W * *  41.60  74  56    1 299 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois      -3.18     21.18                      
16 01-07-2026 Home    W * *  36.88  72  68    1 155 (17-15) Toledo                 -7.90     11.90                      
17 01-14-2026 Home    W * *  59.53 103  61    1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo                14.75 *   27.25                      
18 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  48.84  78  57    1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan        4.06     16.94                      
19 01-21-2026 Home    W   *  55.79  78  60    1 106 (23- 7) Massachusetts          11.01      6.99                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    L * *  20.89  52  72    1  80 (28- 7) Miami OH              -23.89      3.89                      
21 01-28-2026 Away    W * *  47.21  76  70    1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan        2.43      3.57                      
22 02-01-2026 Away    W * *  47.35 101  91    1 174 (15-16) Kent                    2.58      7.42                      
23 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  53.23  83  48    1 299 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois       8.45     26.55                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    W   *  44.00  87  86    1  70 (25- 8) Troy                   -0.77      1.77                      
25 02-10-2026 Away    W * *  49.26  83  68    1 193 (13-16) Eastern Michigan        4.48     10.52                      
26 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  44.93  82  67    1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green           0.15     14.85                      
27 02-18-2026 Away    W * *  55.90  88  55    1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo                11.12     21.88                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  42.26  64  68    1  80 (28- 7) Miami OH               -2.52     -1.48                      
29 02-25-2026 Home    W * *  53.11  88  55    1 301 ( 7-24) Akron                   8.33     24.67                      
30 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  32.37  86  85    1 161 (18-14) Ohio                  -12.40     13.40                      
31 03-07-2026 Away    W * *  45.25  78  71    1 155 (17-15) Toledo                  0.47      6.53                      
32 03-11-2026 Neutral W * *  44.61  75  63    1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green          -0.17     12.17                      
33 03-13-2026 Neutral L * *  31.56  65  69    1 155 (17-15) Toledo                -13.22      9.22                      
      Averages              44.78  78.7 66.0

Best game:   61.14 = 32 point win over Alabama A&M
Worst game:  20.89 = 20 point loss to Miami OH
Team stdev:  10.64